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ForeSci

external · status: research-prototype · focus: ideation · discipline: computer-science · started: 2026

Project page: https://github.com/roytian1992/ResearchForesight

Licence: none

No licence declared

The repository declares no licence, so its code cannot be reused, modified or redistributed without the maintainer's permission. RISE describes and links to the project; nothing from it is reproduced here.

Source: projects/landscape/foresci.yml

Positioning

A temporally-controlled benchmark of 500 tasks testing whether LLM agents can make forward-looking research judgments — direction forecasting, bottleneck/opportunity discovery, strategic research planning, and venue-aware positioning — from a frozen, cutoff-dated knowledge base (~7,500 documents across four fast-moving AI subfields: LLM agents, fine-tuning, RAG systems, visual generative modeling), with post-cutoff papers held out purely for validation. Sits in the RISE evaluation-infrastructure layer testing the rq-formulation / research-design front end of the pipeline, alongside econcs-bench and naturebench, rather than any component that itself produces a paper.

Distinctive contribution

The only benchmark in the catalog scoring forward-looking research judgment itself — what should be studied next, and where it would be publishable — rather than execution skill, via a leakage-controlled design (knowledge base frozen at a cutoff, evaluation targets drawn only from post-cutoff papers) and family-specific LLM-as-judge rubrics for persuasiveness and evidence traceability.

Evaluation scores

Dimension Score (0–3) Note
Lifecycle coverage 0 Evaluation harness: grades agents' forward-looking research judgment; produces no scholarship of its own.
Autonomy level 0 Static task files, frozen knowledge base, and grading scripts; any agency lives in the systems attempting the tasks.
Architectural transparency 3 Pip-installable repo publishes the 500 task files (JSONL), the ~7,500-document per-domain knowledge base, evaluation scripts, prompt templates, and the LLM-as-judge rubrics for all four decision families.
Inputs supported 1 One input form (a task prompt plus its frozen per-domain knowledge base); no live literature or data-source access — staleness is deliberate, to prevent leakage from post-cutoff papers.
Outputs / reproducibility 1 Deterministic claim-F1/evidence-traceability scoring exists, but the repo publishes no versioned leaderboard, run manifest, or release tags at review date, and the persuasiveness score depends on an LLM judge.
Internal evaluation 2 The companion paper (arXiv:2606.00644) reports systematic evaluation of native LLMs, Hybrid RAG, and three research-agent adaptations across four backbones; no public leaderboard or third-party replication yet.
Openness 1 No license file found in the repository at scoring date — reuse terms are unclear despite the code and data being publicly visible.
Maturity / traction 1 1 star, 0 forks, single-author repo released alongside a May/June 2026 preprint — a fresh research-prototype drop with no external adoption evident yet.
Cross-family policy 0 Not applicable — a model-agnostic evaluation harness with no executor/reviewer configuration of its own.
Runtime assurance 0 No in-flight runtime mechanisms; this is post-hoc evaluation of submitted judgments, not a pipeline with runtime gates.
Cross-platform portability 2 The harness evaluates native LLMs, a Hybrid-RAG baseline, and three research-agent scaffolds across four model backbones — multiple providers/runtimes, short of the 5+ band.

Scored on 2026-10-01. See the evaluation rubric.

Tags

Pipeline stages: rq-formulation hypothesis-generation research-design dissemination

Inputs: frozen-knowledge-base task-prompt

Outputs: prediction-scores evidence-traceability-report

Knowledge sources: frozen-arxiv-snapshot-kb

Limitations

  • No license file at scoring date — reuse terms are unclear.
  • No populated leaderboard in the repository itself; comparative model results live only in the companion paper.
  • Single-author repo (1 star, 0 forks) released alongside the paper — no independent validation yet that the frozen knowledge base or judge rubrics generalize beyond the four covered AI subfields.
  • Scope is limited to four fast-moving AI/ML subfields, not a general cross-discipline research-judgment benchmark.
  • Persuasiveness/research-judgment scoring depends on an LLM-as-judge rubric rather than human expert validation.

Papers describing this project

  • ForeSci: Evaluating LLM Agents for Forward-Looking AI Research Judgment — Tian, Q., Yin, H., Xia, Y., Kong, Y., Liu, Z. (2026). arxiv. arXiv:2606.00644