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Read the Paper, Write the Code: Agentic Reproduction of Social-Science Results

Summary

The paper asks whether LLM agents can reproduce empirical social-science results when given only a paper's methods description and the original data, rather than the data plus the original code as in prior work. The authors build an agentic reproduction system that extracts structured methods descriptions from papers, runs reimplementations under strict information isolation (agents never see the original code, results, or paper), and compares reproduced outputs to the originals deterministically at the level of individual table cells. An error-attribution step traces discrepancies through the system chain to root causes. Evaluating four agent scaffolds and four LLMs on 48 papers with human-verified reproducibility, they find agents can largely recover published results, with substantial variation across models, scaffolds and papers; failures stem both from agent errors and from underspecification in the papers. Single arXiv version (Apr 2026).

Contribution

Claimed: broadening agentic reproduction from "data plus code" to "methods plus data", with isolation, cell-level comparison and root cause attribution. What the abstract supports: the design and the headline finding. It gives no recovery rates, no breakdown of agent-error versus paper-underspecification failures, and no statement of which scaffold or model performed best, so the magnitude of "largely recover" and "varies substantially" cannot be read off the abstract.

Method

48 social-science papers whose reproducibility was previously verified by humans; a 4 scaffold by 4 LLM design; deterministic cell-level comparison; error attribution through the system chain. The abstract does not specify which scaffolds or LLMs, the disciplines within social science, the tolerance for a cell match, whether the methods-description extractor is an LLM or a human, how isolation is staged given that extraction must read the paper, or where the data come from.

Relevance to RISE

Informs replication, data-acquisition, data-analysis and code-generation, matching the catalog entry social-science-replicability. Note that the catalog page's internal-evaluation note ("demonstrated on example papers; no broad benchmark of replication success rates") is narrower than what the abstract reports, namely a 48-paper, sixteen-configuration evaluation; the catalog score may predate the paper. Relative to reprorepo (li2026reprorepo) the axes are complementary: ReproRepo audits paper–repository pairs statically against human-reported issues, whereas this system executes reimplementations and checks numbers. Relative to paper2code (seo2025paper2code), paper-to-code is a shared sub-task, but here success is judged by matching the published results rather than by implementation faithfulness. For the ISR question on multi-agent structure, the abstract describes a staged single-pipeline "system chain" (extraction, isolated reimplementation, comparison, attribution) rather than multi-agent review or consensus; its scaffold-by-model design is nonetheless direct evidence that agent structure affects epistemic outcomes independently of the underlying model.

Critique / open questions

The abstract does not allow assessment of absolute recovery rates, of whether failures on underspecified papers can be detected without a ground truth (the in-the-wild use case), of how the 48 papers were selected (human-verified reproducibility may favour easier cases), or of the data-preparation effort required. The abstract concedes that performance varies substantially between models, scaffolds and papers, and that underspecification in the papers themselves is a root cause of failure. Author-name spelling differs between the arXiv record ("Benjamin Kohler", "Johanna Einsiedler") and the catalog page ("Köhler", "Einsiedler, A.").

Key quotes

"We broaden this scope by asking: Can they reproduce results given only a paper's methods description and original data?" (abstract)

"We develop an agentic reproduction system that extracts structured methods descriptions from papers, runs reimplementations under strict information isolation -- agents never see the original code, results, or paper -- and enables deterministic, cell-level comparison of reproduced outputs to the original results." (abstract)

"Root cause analysis reveals that failures stem both from agent errors and from underspecification in the papers themselves." (abstract)